Wall Street is pointing to a gentle start with stocks hovering around record highs because the Fed's two day meeting begins.

Mixed data shrugged off, all eyes on the Fed


Stocks are pointing to a flat start, hovering around record high because the Fed’s two day policy meeting kicks off and as investors digest the newest retail sales and PPI numbers.


Retail sales dropped by a quite expected -1.3% in May. Expectations had been for a -0.8% decline. However, April’s sales were upwardly revised from 0% to +0.9%. internet effect across the 2 months was positive.


Meanwhile wholesale inflation as measured by PPI rose a bigger than expected 0.8% MoM in May.


The mixed data hasn’t raised any eyebrows within the market. The market has barely responded with few brave enough to require big positions before tomorrow’s Fed announcement. the large question is whether or not the Fed will start, very slowly, introducing taper talk and therefore the debate surrounding reining in ultra-lose monetary policy.


Equities have rallied to record highs and bond yields have eased to 3 month lows creating an honest runway for the Fed to introduce taper talk.


Equities


Oracle are going to be focused after reporting EPS $1.31 on revenue of $11.02 billion for Q4 ending May 31.


Boeing trades -0.5% lower and can be under the spotlight after the US and EU call a truce on the 17 year dispute over aircraft subsidies to the plane manufacturer.




Where next for the Dow Jones?


The Dow has been trending lower over the past week. Despite attempting to tick a couple of points higher today, it remains below the week old descending trendline. The Dow also trades below it 50 sma on the 4 hour chart. However, it's finding support on the 200 sma. Any move higher would wish to retake the ascending line resistance at 34500 and therefore the 50 sma at 34550. it might take a move above 34730 for the bulls to realize traction and fasten 34850. Any move lower would wish to interrupt below the 200 sma at 34350, bringing 3422 into view. A breakthrough this level could prompt a much bigger unload .


FX – USD edges lower, GBP declines despite strong jobs data


The US Dollar is on the increase because the FOMC meeting begins and investors weigh up the likelihood of the Fed beginning to mention tapering its asset purchases.


GBP/USD trades struggling despite upbeat UK jobs data. Unemployment ticked lower to 4.7% within the three months to April, in line with forecasts and down from 4.8% in March. the amount of individuals joining the payroll also surged to a record high in May of 197,000 as indoor hospitality re-opened. Still after Boris Johnson delayed the ultimate lifting of restrictions the Pound remains struggling . Brexit is additionally a haul .


GBP/USD-0.1% at 1.4103


EUR/USD +0.1% at 1.2118





Oil jumps to fresh multi year highs


Oil prices are bounding higher recouping mild losses within the previous session. Oil trades at multi year highs amid a robust demand outlook as vaccine programmes have reopened enable economies to reopen. The EIA now sees demand returning to pre-pandemic levels by the top of 2022. this is often before anticipated. The EIA also urged OPEC+ to extend supply so as to satisfy rising demand.


One major concern for the market has been the prospect of Iranian oil returning to the market within the event that the 2015 Iran nuclear deal is revived. However talks with the US are progressing slowly and now Iranian presidential elections later in the week are another disruption thereto process. In short, the threat of Iranian oil flooding the market soon, has dwindled.